Wk 13 · 2026
NC State Wolfpack at North Carolina Tar Heels — Sat, Nov 28
Sat, Nov 28 ·
Kenan Stadium, Chapel Hill, NC
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 89 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
ACC · 0-1
at
TBDET
NCSU -1.5 · total 55.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential NCSU by 2.1
ACC · 1-0
What is at stake
Textile Bowl. Twenty-five miles apart in the Research Triangle, playing for a trophy that dates to the states textile industry and for a full year of arguing about which school is the real North Carolina. They play for the Textile Bowl trophy. A ACC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
NC State form
L 8-34at UVA
2026 season
North Carolina form
W 15-10at TCU
2026 season
NC State this season
Straight up0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Against the spread0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Over / under0-1 · 0% (1 games)
North Carolina this season
Straight up1-0 · 100% (1 games)
Against the spread1-0 · 100% (1 games)
Over / under0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 4
| Opponent | NC State | North Carolina |
|---|---|---|
| Virginia ACC | at L 8-34 preview | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| Louisville ACC | vs Wk 5 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
| Duke ACC | vs Wk 10 · scheduled preview | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
| Syracuse ACC | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, NC State leads 14–6 · NC State has won the last 5
20 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
3.0 points toward NC State
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-11-29 | North Carolina 19 — 42 NC State | at NCSU | NC State |
| 2024 | 2024-11-30 | NC State 35 — 30 North Carolina | at UNC | NC State |
| 2023 | 2023-11-25 | North Carolina 20 — 39 NC State | at NCSU | NC State |
| 2022 | 2022-11-25 | NC State 30 — 27 North Carolina | at UNC | NC State |
| 2021 | 2021-11-26 | North Carolina 30 — 34 NC State | at NCSU | NC State |
| 2020 | 2020-10-24 | NC State 21 — 48 North Carolina | at UNC | North Carolina |
| 2019 | 2019-11-30 | North Carolina 41 — 10 NC State | at NCSU | North Carolina |
| 2018 | 2018-11-24 | NC State 34 — 28 North Carolina | at UNC | NC State |
| 2017 | 2017-11-25 | North Carolina 21 — 33 NC State | at NCSU | NC State |
| 2016 | 2016-11-25 | NC State 28 — 21 North Carolina | at UNC | NC State |
| 2015 | 2015-11-28 | North Carolina 45 — 34 NC State | at NCSU | North Carolina |
| 2014 | 2014-11-29 | NC State 35 — 7 North Carolina | at UNC | NC State |
| 2013 | 2013-11-02 | North Carolina 27 — 19 NC State | at NCSU | North Carolina |
| 2012 | 2012-10-27 | NC State 35 — 43 North Carolina | at UNC | North Carolina |
| 2011 | 2011-11-05 | North Carolina 0 — 13 NC State | at NCSU | NC State |
| 2010 | 2010-11-20 | NC State 29 — 25 North Carolina | at UNC | NC State |
| 2009 | 2009-11-28 | North Carolina 27 — 28 NC State | at NCSU | NC State |
| 2008 | 2008-11-22 | NC State 41 — 10 North Carolina | at UNC | NC State |
| 2007 | 2007-11-10 | North Carolina 27 — 31 NC State | at NCSU | NC State |
| 2006 | 2006-11-18 | NC State 9 — 23 North Carolina | at UNC | North Carolina |
NC State leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | CJ Bailey QB #11 | 259/372, 2884 YDS, 23 TD, 9 INT |
| Teddy Hoffmann WR #12 | 1/1, 59 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Rushing | Hollywood Smothers RB #2 | 160 CAR, 939 YDS, 6 TD |
| Jayden Scott RB #1 | 87 CAR, 487 YDS, 4 TD | |
| CJ Bailey QB #11 | 82 CAR, 215 YDS, 5 TD | |
| Receiving | Terrell Anderson WR #9 | 38 REC, 637 YDS, 5 TD |
| Justin Joly TE #7 | 47 REC, 468 YDS, 7 TD | |
| Noah Rogers WR #5 | 31 REC, 404 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Wesley Grimes WR #6 | 26 REC, 382 YDS, 2 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Caden Fordham LB #10 | 130 |
| Kenny Soares Jr. EDGE #23 | 68 | |
| Asaad Brown Jr. CB #6 | 57 | |
| Sacks | Travali Price DE #13 | 3.5 |
| Caden Fordham LB #10 | 3.5 | |
| Tra Thomas LB #4 | 3 | |
| Interceptions | Devon Marshall CB #6 | 2 |
| Caden Fordham LB #10 | 1 | |
| Isaiah Shirley DT #88 | 1 |
North Carolina leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Gio Lopez QB #3 | 170/261, 1747 YDS, 10 TD, 5 INT |
| Max Johnson QB #7 | 54/87, 432 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Rushing | Demon June RB #0 | 84 CAR, 464 YDS, 2 TD |
| Benjamin Hall RB #7 | 71 CAR, 274 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Davion Gause RB #7 | 61 CAR, 259 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Receiving | Jordan Shipp WR #1 | 60 REC, 671 YDS, 6 TD |
| Kobe Paysour WR #8 | 35 REC, 438 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Demon June RB #0 | 17 REC, 159 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Javarius Green WR #4 | 13 REC, 150 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Khmori House DB #6 | 78 |
| Andrew Simpson LB #2 | 61 | |
| Will Hardy DB #31 | 53 | |
| Sacks | Melkart Abou Jaoude DL #9 | 10.5 |
| Tyler Thompson DL #3 | 7 | |
| Andrew Simpson LB #2 | 5 | |
| Interceptions | Andrew Simpson LB #2 | 1 |
| Kaleb Cost DB #2 | 1 | |
| Jaiden Patterson DB #18 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.