Wk 11 · 2026
Louisville Cardinals at North Carolina Tar Heels — Sat, Nov 14
Sat, Nov 14 ·
Kenan Stadium, Chapel Hill, NC
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 75 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
ACC · no games yet
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential LOU by 8.8
ACC · 1-0
What is at stake
A ACC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. Louisville is ranked #24 (AP Top 25 · 2026-08-17).
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Louisville form
No completed games on record.
North Carolina form
W 15-10at TCU
2026 season
Louisville this season
No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
North Carolina this season
Straight up1-0 · 100% (1 games)
Against the spread1-0 · 100% (1 games)
Over / under0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 3
| Opponent | Louisville | North Carolina |
|---|---|---|
| NC State ACC | at Wk 5 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
| Syracuse ACC | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
| Pitt ACC | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview | at Wk 6 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Louisville leads 2–1 · Louisville has won the last 2
3 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
3.3 points toward Louisville
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 2017-09-09 | Louisville 47 — 35 North Carolina | at UNC | Louisville |
| 2012 | 2012-09-15 | North Carolina 34 — 39 Louisville | at LOU | Louisville |
| 2011 | 2011-10-08 | Louisville 7 — 14 North Carolina | at UNC | North Carolina |
Louisville leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Miller Moss QB #7 | 228/356, 2526 YDS, 14 TD, 7 INT |
| Deuce Adams QB #8 | 15/21, 112 YDS | |
| Rushing | Isaac Brown RB #1 | 91 CAR, 782 YDS, 5 TD |
| Keyjuan Brown RB #5 | 81 CAR, 592 YDS, 6 TD | |
| Braxton Jennings RB #32 | 37 CAR, 200 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Chris Bell WR #0 | 72 REC, 917 YDS, 6 TD |
| Caullin Lacy WR #5 | 54 REC, 547 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Dacari Collins WR #3 | 13 REC, 219 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Jaleel Skinner TE #18 | 20 REC, 199 YDS, 2 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | TJ Quinn LB #34 | 87 |
| D'Angelo Hutchinson DB #21 | 79 | |
| JoJo Evans Jr. DB #27 | 56 | |
| Sacks | Clev Lubin DL #50 | 7 |
| Wesley Bailey EDGE #23 | 6 | |
| AJ Green DL #17 | 4 | |
| Interceptions | Antonio Watts DB #9 | 3 |
| TJ Quinn LB #34 | 2 | |
| Tayon Holloway DB #13 | 2 |
North Carolina leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Gio Lopez QB #3 | 170/261, 1747 YDS, 10 TD, 5 INT |
| Max Johnson QB #7 | 54/87, 432 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Rushing | Demon June RB #0 | 84 CAR, 464 YDS, 2 TD |
| Benjamin Hall RB #7 | 71 CAR, 274 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Davion Gause RB #7 | 61 CAR, 259 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Receiving | Jordan Shipp WR #1 | 60 REC, 671 YDS, 6 TD |
| Kobe Paysour WR #8 | 35 REC, 438 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Demon June RB #0 | 17 REC, 159 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Javarius Green WR #4 | 13 REC, 150 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Khmori House DB #6 | 78 |
| Andrew Simpson LB #2 | 61 | |
| Will Hardy DB #31 | 53 | |
| Sacks | Melkart Abou Jaoude DL #9 | 10.5 |
| Tyler Thompson DL #3 | 7 | |
| Andrew Simpson LB #2 | 5 | |
| Interceptions | Andrew Simpson LB #2 | 1 |
| Kaleb Cost DB #2 | 1 | |
| Jaiden Patterson DB #18 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.