Wk 6 · 2026
North Carolina Tar Heels at Pittsburgh Panthers — Sat, Oct 10
Sat, Oct 10 ·
Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 40 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
ACC · 1-0
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential PITT by 12.5
ACC · no games yet
What is at stake
A ACC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
North Carolina form
W 15-10at TCU
2026 season
Pitt form
No completed games on record.
North Carolina this season
Straight up1-0 · 100% (1 games)
Against the spread1-0 · 100% (1 games)
Over / under0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Pitt this season
No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 3
| Opponent | North Carolina | Pitt |
|---|---|---|
| Syracuse ACC | vs Wk 8 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 3 · scheduled preview |
| Miami ACC | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
| Louisville ACC | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, North Carolina leads 8–4 · Pitt won the last one
12 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
2.9 points toward North Carolina
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024-10-05 | Pitt 34 — 24 North Carolina | at UNC | Pitt |
| 2023 | 2023-09-23 | North Carolina 41 — 24 Pitt | at PITT | North Carolina |
| 2022 | 2022-10-29 | Pitt 24 — 42 North Carolina | at UNC | North Carolina |
| 2021 | 2021-11-11 | North Carolina 23 — 30 Pitt | at PITT | Pitt |
| 2019 | 2019-11-14 | North Carolina 27 — 34 Pitt | at PITT | Pitt |
| 2018 | 2018-09-22 | Pitt 35 — 38 North Carolina | at UNC | North Carolina |
| 2017 | 2017-11-09 | North Carolina 34 — 31 Pitt | at PITT | North Carolina |
| 2016 | 2016-09-24 | Pitt 36 — 37 North Carolina | at UNC | North Carolina |
| 2015 | 2015-10-29 | North Carolina 26 — 19 Pitt | at PITT | North Carolina |
| 2014 | 2014-11-15 | Pitt 35 — 40 North Carolina | at UNC | North Carolina |
| 2013 | 2013-11-16 | North Carolina 34 — 27 Pitt | at PITT | North Carolina |
| 2009 | 2009-12-26 | Pitt 19 — 17 North Carolina | neutral | Pitt bowl/CFP |
North Carolina leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Gio Lopez QB #3 | 170/261, 1747 YDS, 10 TD, 5 INT |
| Max Johnson QB #7 | 54/87, 432 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Rushing | Demon June RB #0 | 84 CAR, 464 YDS, 2 TD |
| Benjamin Hall RB #7 | 71 CAR, 274 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Davion Gause RB #7 | 61 CAR, 259 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Receiving | Jordan Shipp WR #1 | 60 REC, 671 YDS, 6 TD |
| Kobe Paysour WR #8 | 35 REC, 438 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Demon June RB #0 | 17 REC, 159 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Javarius Green WR #4 | 13 REC, 150 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Khmori House DB #6 | 78 |
| Andrew Simpson LB #2 | 61 | |
| Will Hardy DB #31 | 53 | |
| Sacks | Melkart Abou Jaoude DL #9 | 10.5 |
| Tyler Thompson DL #3 | 7 | |
| Andrew Simpson LB #2 | 5 | |
| Interceptions | Andrew Simpson LB #2 | 1 |
| Kaleb Cost DB #2 | 1 | |
| Jaiden Patterson DB #18 | 1 |
Pitt leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Mason Heintschel QB #6 | 176/276, 2098 YDS, 15 TD, 7 INT |
| Eli Holstein QB #10 | 77/125, 1081 YDS, 12 TD, 6 INT | |
| Rushing | Ja'Kyrian Turner RB #25 | 124 CAR, 652 YDS, 7 TD |
| Desmond Reid RB #0 | 60 CAR, 278 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Juelz Goff RB #22 | 69 CAR, 270 YDS, 5 TD | |
| Receiving | Kenny Johnson WR #4 | 48 REC, 695 YDS, 5 TD |
| Raphael Williams Jr. WR #5 | 46 REC, 644 YDS, 6 TD | |
| Cataurus Hicks WR #3 | 24 REC, 422 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Desmond Reid RB #0 | 23 REC, 317 YDS, 2 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Rasheem Biles LB #3 | 84 |
| Kyle Louis LB #9 | 79 | |
| Braylan Lovelace LB #0 | 76 | |
| Sacks | Jimmy Scott DL #44 | 4.5 |
| Isaiah Neal DL #2 | 3.5 | |
| Kyle Louis LB #9 | 3 | |
| Interceptions | Kavir Bains-Marquez DB #20 | 3 |
| Kyle Louis LB #9 | 2 | |
| Rasheem Biles LB #3 | 2 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.