Wk 9 · 2026
Miami Hurricanes at North Carolina Tar Heels — Sat, Oct 31
Sat, Oct 31 ·
Kenan Stadium, Chapel Hill, NC
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 61 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
ACC · no games yet
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential MIA by 19.4
ACC · 1-0
What is at stake
A ACC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. Miami is ranked #7 (AP Top 25 · 2026-08-17).
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Miami form
No completed games on record.
North Carolina form
W 15-10at TCU
2026 season
Miami this season
No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
North Carolina this season
Straight up1-0 · 100% (1 games)
Against the spread1-0 · 100% (1 games)
Over / under0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 4
| Opponent | Miami | North Carolina |
|---|---|---|
| Clemson ACC | at Wk 5 · scheduled preview | at Wk 3 · scheduled preview |
| Pitt ACC | vs Wk 8 · scheduled preview | at Wk 6 · scheduled preview |
| Notre Dame FBS Indep. | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 5 · scheduled preview |
| Duke ACC | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, North Carolina leads 11–7 · North Carolina has won the last 5
18 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
0.1 points toward North Carolina
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2023-10-14 | Miami 31 — 41 North Carolina | at UNC | North Carolina |
| 2022 | 2022-10-08 | North Carolina 27 — 24 Miami | at MIA | North Carolina |
| 2021 | 2021-10-16 | Miami 42 — 45 North Carolina | at UNC | North Carolina |
| 2020 | 2020-12-12 | North Carolina 62 — 26 Miami | at MIA | North Carolina |
| 2019 | 2019-09-07 | Miami 25 — 28 North Carolina | at UNC | North Carolina |
| 2018 | 2018-09-27 | North Carolina 10 — 47 Miami | at MIA | Miami |
| 2017 | 2017-10-28 | Miami 24 — 19 North Carolina | at UNC | Miami |
| 2016 | 2016-10-15 | North Carolina 20 — 13 Miami | at MIA | North Carolina |
| 2015 | 2015-11-14 | Miami 21 — 59 North Carolina | at UNC | North Carolina |
| 2014 | 2014-11-01 | North Carolina 20 — 47 Miami | at MIA | Miami |
| 2013 | 2013-10-17 | Miami 27 — 23 North Carolina | at UNC | Miami |
| 2012 | 2012-10-13 | North Carolina 18 — 14 Miami | at MIA | North Carolina |
| 2011 | 2011-10-15 | Miami 30 — 24 North Carolina | at UNC | Miami |
| 2010 | 2010-10-23 | North Carolina 10 — 33 Miami | at MIA | Miami |
| 2009 | 2009-11-14 | Miami 24 — 33 North Carolina | at UNC | North Carolina |
| 2008 | 2008-09-27 | North Carolina 28 — 24 Miami | at MIA | North Carolina |
| 2007 | 2007-10-06 | Miami 27 — 33 North Carolina | at UNC | North Carolina |
| 2006 | 2006-10-07 | North Carolina 7 — 27 Miami | at MIA | Miami |
Miami leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Carson Beck QB #11 | 263/352, 3072 YDS, 25 TD, 10 INT |
| Emory Williams QB #9 | 13/19, 156 YDS | |
| Rushing | Mark Fletcher Jr. RB #4 | 141 CAR, 685 YDS, 10 TD |
| CharMar Brown RB #6 | 100 CAR, 389 YDS, 5 TD | |
| Girard Pringle Jr. RB #0 | 58 CAR, 362 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Receiving | Malachi Toney WR #1 | 84 REC, 970 YDS, 7 TD |
| Keelan Marion WR #0 | 41 REC, 557 YDS, 1 TD | |
| CJ Daniels WR #7 | 35 REC, 391 YDS, 7 TD | |
| Elija Lofton TE #9 | 21 REC, 195 YDS, 3 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Mohamed Toure LB #1 | 54 |
| Jakobe Thomas S #8 | 48 | |
| Zechariah Poyser DB #7 | 47 | |
| Sacks | Akheem Mesidor EDGE #3 | 7 |
| Rueben Bain Jr. EDGE #4 | 4.5 | |
| Ahmad Moten Sr. DL #99 | 4.5 | |
| Interceptions | Jakobe Thomas S #8 | 4 |
| Bryce Fitzgerald DB #3 | 4 | |
| Wesley Bissainthe LB #31 | 1 |
North Carolina leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Gio Lopez QB #3 | 170/261, 1747 YDS, 10 TD, 5 INT |
| Max Johnson QB #7 | 54/87, 432 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Rushing | Demon June RB #0 | 84 CAR, 464 YDS, 2 TD |
| Benjamin Hall RB #7 | 71 CAR, 274 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Davion Gause RB #7 | 61 CAR, 259 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Receiving | Jordan Shipp WR #1 | 60 REC, 671 YDS, 6 TD |
| Kobe Paysour WR #8 | 35 REC, 438 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Demon June RB #0 | 17 REC, 159 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Javarius Green WR #4 | 13 REC, 150 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Khmori House DB #6 | 78 |
| Andrew Simpson LB #2 | 61 | |
| Will Hardy DB #31 | 53 | |
| Sacks | Melkart Abou Jaoude DL #9 | 10.5 |
| Tyler Thompson DL #3 | 7 | |
| Andrew Simpson LB #2 | 5 | |
| Interceptions | Andrew Simpson LB #2 | 1 |
| Kaleb Cost DB #2 | 1 | |
| Jaiden Patterson DB #18 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.