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Wk 3 · 2026

North Carolina Tar Heels at Clemson Tigers — Sat, Sep 19

Sat, Sep 19 · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC), Clemson, SC · ESPN · Disney+

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 19 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
12:00pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential CLEM by 10.7
ACC · no games yet

What is at stake

A ACC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

North Carolina: -4.6#93
Efficiency margin
Clemson: +3.7#43
North Carolina: 18.8
Offense (pts/100)
Clemson: 26.5
North Carolina: 23.4
Defense (pts/100)
Clemson: 22.8
North Carolina: -1343.0
Pace (plays/g)
Clemson: 65.5
North Carolina: 5.65
Yards / play
Clemson: no data
North Carolina: 3.96
Yards / play allowed
Clemson: no data
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

North Carolina: 15.0
Points / game
Clemson: no data
North Carolina: 10.0
Points allowed
Clemson: no data
North Carolina: 322
Yards / game
Clemson: no data
North Carolina: no data
Yards allowed
Clemson: no data
North Carolina: no data
Pass yds allowed
Clemson: no data
North Carolina: no data
Rush yds allowed
Clemson: no data
North Carolina: 2.00
Turnovers / game
Clemson: no data
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

North Carolina form

W 15-10at TCU
2026 season

Clemson form

No completed games on record.

North Carolina this season

Straight up1-0 · 100% (1 games)
Against the spread1-0 · 100% (1 games)
Over / under0-1 · 0% (1 games)

Clemson this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 3

OpponentNorth CarolinaClemson
Duke
ACC
at Wk 7 · scheduled previewat Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Syracuse
ACC
vs Wk 8 · scheduled previewat Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Miami
ACC
vs Wk 9 · scheduled previewvs Wk 5 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Clemson leads 8–1 · Clemson has won the last 7
9 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 17.0 points toward Clemson
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-10-04Clemson 3810 North Carolinaat UNCClemson
20232023-11-18North Carolina 2031 Clemsonat CLEMClemson
20222022-12-03Clemson 3910 North CarolinaneutralClemson
20192019-09-28Clemson 2120 North Carolinaat UNCClemson
20152015-12-05North Carolina 3745 ClemsonneutralClemson
20142014-09-27North Carolina 3550 Clemsonat CLEMClemson
20112011-10-22North Carolina 3859 Clemsonat CLEMClemson
20102010-10-09Clemson 1621 North Carolinaat UNCNorth Carolina
20062006-09-23North Carolina 752 Clemsonat CLEMClemson

North Carolina leaders 2025 regular season

PassingGio Lopez QB #3170/261, 1747 YDS, 10 TD, 5 INT
Max Johnson QB #754/87, 432 YDS, 2 TD
RushingDemon June RB #084 CAR, 464 YDS, 2 TD
Benjamin Hall RB #771 CAR, 274 YDS, 2 TD
Davion Gause RB #761 CAR, 259 YDS, 3 TD
ReceivingJordan Shipp WR #160 REC, 671 YDS, 6 TD
Kobe Paysour WR #835 REC, 438 YDS, 1 TD
Demon June RB #017 REC, 159 YDS, 1 TD
Javarius Green WR #413 REC, 150 YDS
Defense
TacklesKhmori House DB #678
Andrew Simpson LB #261
Will Hardy DB #3153
SacksMelkart Abou Jaoude DL #910.5
Tyler Thompson DL #37
Andrew Simpson LB #25
InterceptionsAndrew Simpson LB #21
Kaleb Cost DB #21
Jaiden Patterson DB #181

Clemson leaders 2025 regular season

PassingCade Klubnik QB #2235/353, 2750 YDS, 16 TD, 6 INT
Christopher Vizzina QB #1745/71, 406 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
RushingAdam Randall RB #8157 CAR, 779 YDS, 9 TD
Gideon Davidson RB #856 CAR, 249 YDS
Chris Denson QB #157 CAR, 108 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingT.J. Moore WR #146 REC, 754 YDS, 4 TD
Antonio Williams WR #055 REC, 604 YDS, 4 TD
Bryant Wesco Jr. WR #1231 REC, 537 YDS, 6 TD
Adam Randall RB #831 REC, 246 YDS, 3 TD
Defense
TacklesSammy Brown LB #4791
Wade Woodaz LB #1770
Ronan Hanafin S #556
SacksWill Heldt DE #137.5
TJ Parker EDGE #35
Sammy Brown LB #475
InterceptionsRicardo Jones S #76
Ronan Hanafin S #51
Sammy Brown LB #471
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.