Also oursNFL Schedulethis site, for the NFLThe CFB Kingodds and projections — a paid site
CFB Schedule college football
CFBNFL
Wk 8 · 2026

Duke Blue Devils at Virginia Cavaliers — Fri, Oct 23

Fri, Oct 23 · Scott Stadium, Charlottesville, VA · ESPN

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 54 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Duke Blue Devils
ACC · no games yet
at
7:00pET
UVA -6.5 · total 53.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential UVA by 9.0
Virginia Cavaliers
ACC · 1-0

What is at stake

A ACC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Duke: +3.7#42
Efficiency margin
Virginia: +10.3#19
Duke: 32.9
Offense (pts/100)
Virginia: 28.8
Duke: 29.3
Defense (pts/100)
Virginia: 18.5
Duke: 65.5
Pace (plays/g)
Virginia: 1768.0
Duke: no data
Yards / play
Virginia: 6.07
Duke: no data
Yards / play allowed
Virginia: 3.29
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Duke: no data
Points / game
Virginia: 34.0
Duke: no data
Points allowed
Virginia: 8.0
Duke: no data
Yards / game
Virginia: 413
Duke: no data
Yards allowed
Virginia: no data
Duke: no data
Pass yds allowed
Virginia: no data
Duke: no data
Rush yds allowed
Virginia: no data
Duke: no data
Turnovers / game
Virginia: 0.00
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Duke form

No completed games on record.

Virginia form

W 34-8vs NCSU
2026 season

Duke this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.

Virginia this season

Straight up1-0 · 100% (1 games)
Against the spread1-0 · 100% (1 games)
Over / under0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 3

OpponentDukeVirginia
North Carolina
ACC
vs Wk 7 · scheduled previewvs Wk 12 · scheduled preview
NC State
ACC
at Wk 10 · scheduled previewvs W 34-8 preview
Wake Forest
ACC
at Wk 13 · scheduled previewat Wk 9 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Virginia leads 12–8 · Duke won the last one
20 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 5.1 points toward Virginia
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-12-06Duke 27 — 20 VirginianeutralDuke
20252025-11-15Virginia 34 — 17 Dukeat DUKEVirginia
20232023-11-18Duke 27 — 30 Virginiaat UVAVirginia
20222022-10-01Virginia 17 — 38 Dukeat DUKEDuke
20212021-10-16Duke 0 — 48 Virginiaat UVAVirginia
20202020-09-26Duke 20 — 38 Virginiaat UVAVirginia
20192019-10-19Duke 14 — 48 Virginiaat UVAVirginia
20182018-10-20Virginia 28 — 14 Dukeat DUKEVirginia
20172017-10-07Duke 21 — 28 Virginiaat UVAVirginia
20162016-10-01Virginia 34 — 20 Dukeat DUKEVirginia
20152015-11-21Duke 34 — 42 Virginiaat UVAVirginia
20142014-10-18Virginia 13 — 20 Dukeat DUKEDuke
20132013-10-19Duke 35 — 22 Virginiaat UVADuke
20122012-10-06Virginia 17 — 42 Dukeat DUKEDuke
20112011-11-12Duke 21 — 31 Virginiaat UVAVirginia
20102010-11-06Virginia 48 — 55 Dukeat DUKEDuke
20092009-10-31Duke 28 — 17 Virginiaat UVADuke
20082008-09-27Virginia 3 — 31 Dukeat DUKEDuke
20072007-09-08Duke 13 — 24 Virginiaat UVAVirginia
20062006-09-30Virginia 37 — 0 Dukeat DUKEVirginia

Duke leaders 2025 regular season

PassingDarian Mensah QB #10305/449, 3646 YDS, 30 TD, 5 INT
Henry Belin IV QB #22/5, 22 YDS
RushingNate Sheppard RB #20178 CAR, 962 YDS, 10 TD
Anderson Castle RB #4110 CAR, 470 YDS, 11 TD
Jaquez Moore RB #939 CAR, 192 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingCooper Barkate WR #1868 REC, 1069 YDS, 6 TD
Que'Sean Brown WR #354 REC, 668 YDS, 3 TD
Sahmir Hagans WR #237 REC, 463 YDS, 6 TD
Jeremiah Hasley TE #8534 REC, 404 YDS, 5 TD
Defense
TacklesCaleb Weaver S #382
Luke Mergott LB #3480
DaShawn Stone S #877
SacksVincent Anthony Jr. DE #77.5
Josiah Green DT #43.5
Aaron Hall DT #992.5
InterceptionsChandler Rivers CB #02
Moussa Kane CB #222
Tre Freeman LB #122
full roster and per-player history

Virginia leaders 2025 regular season

PassingChandler Morris QB #4257/398, 2802 YDS, 16 TD, 9 INT
Daniel Kaelin QB #1230/52, 339 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
RushingJ'Mari Taylor RB #3222 CAR, 1062 YDS, 14 TD
Harrison Waylee RB #2198 CAR, 488 YDS, 5 TD
Chandler Morris QB #458 CAR, 245 YDS, 5 TD
ReceivingTrell Harris WR #1159 REC, 847 YDS, 5 TD
Jahmal Edrine WR #742 REC, 526 YDS, 1 TD
Cameron Ross WR #648 REC, 518 YDS, 2 TD
J'Mari Taylor RB #343 REC, 253 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesDevin Neal Jr. S #2777
Kam Robinson LB #564
James Jackson LB #162
SacksDaniel Rickert EDGE #526.5
Mitchell Melton LB #175
Fisher Camac DE #144.5
InterceptionsJa'son Prevard S #33
Antonio Clary S #02
Kam Robinson LB #52
full roster and per-player history
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.