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Wk 7 · 2026

UNLV Rebels at Air Force Falcons — Sat, Oct 17

Sat, Oct 17 · Falcon Stadium, USAF Academy, CO · CBSSN

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 47 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Mountain West · 0-1
at
3:30pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential UNLV by 2.5
Mountain West · no games yet

What is at stake

A Mountain West game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

UNLV: +1.2#59
Efficiency margin
Air Force: -3.7#88
UNLV: 29.4
Offense (pts/100)
Air Force: 27.1
UNLV: 28.2
Defense (pts/100)
Air Force: 30.8
UNLV: 1979.0
Pace (plays/g)
Air Force: 65.5
UNLV: 5.82
Yards / play
Air Force: no data
UNLV: 6.97
Yards / play allowed
Air Force: no data
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

UNLV: 21.0
Points / game
Air Force: no data
UNLV: 27.0
Points allowed
Air Force: no data
UNLV: 460
Yards / game
Air Force: no data
UNLV: no data
Yards allowed
Air Force: no data
UNLV: no data
Pass yds allowed
Air Force: no data
UNLV: no data
Rush yds allowed
Air Force: no data
UNLV: 0.00
Turnovers / game
Air Force: no data
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

UNLV form

L 21-27vs MEM
2026 season

Air Force form

No completed games on record.

UNLV this season

Straight up0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Against the spread0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Over / under0-1 · 0% (1 games)

Air Force this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 6

OpponentUNLVAir Force
N Dakota St
Mountain West
vs Wk 6 · scheduled previewvs Wk 2 · scheduled preview
N Illinois
Mountain West
vs Wk 9 · scheduled previewat Wk 6 · scheduled preview
Wyoming
Mountain West
vs Wk 10 · scheduled previewat Wk 8 · scheduled preview
New Mexico
Mountain West
at Wk 11 · scheduled previewat Wk 13 · scheduled preview
San José St
Mountain West
at Wk 12 · scheduled previewvs Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Nevada
Mountain West
vs Wk 13 · scheduled previewat Wk 4 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Air Force leads 10–5 · UNLV has won the last 2
15 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 10.8 points toward Air Force
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-10-11Air Force 4851 UNLVat UNLVUNLV
20232023-11-18UNLV 3127 Air Forceat AFUNLV
20222022-10-15Air Force 427 UNLVat UNLVAir Force
20212021-11-26UNLV 1448 Air Forceat AFAir Force
20182018-10-19Air Force 4135 UNLVat UNLVAir Force
20172017-10-14UNLV 3034 Air Forceat AFAir Force
20142014-11-08Air Force 4821 UNLVat UNLVAir Force
20132013-11-21UNLV 4121 Air Forceat AFUNLV
20122012-09-22Air Force 3538 UNLVat UNLVUNLV
20112011-11-19UNLV 1745 Air Forceat AFAir Force
20102010-11-18Air Force 3520 UNLVat UNLVAir Force
20092009-11-14UNLV 1745 Air Forceat AFAir Force
20082008-10-18Air Force 2928 UNLVat UNLVAir Force
20072007-10-06UNLV 1431 Air Forceat AFAir Force
20062006-11-24Air Force 3942 UNLVat UNLVUNLV

UNLV leaders 2025 regular season

PassingAnthony Colandrea QB #10256/387, 3275 YDS, 23 TD, 8 INT
Alex Orji QB #13/3, 37 YDS
RushingJai'Den Thomas RB #9137 CAR, 985 YDS, 12 TD
Anthony Colandrea QB #10118 CAR, 621 YDS, 9 TD
Keyvone Lee RB #296 CAR, 433 YDS, 6 TD
ReceivingJaden Bradley WR #654 REC, 869 YDS, 4 TD
Troy Omeire WR #530 REC, 505 YDS, 5 TD
Daejon Reynolds WR #332 REC, 470 YDS, 5 TD
Taeshaun Lyons WR #813 REC, 222 YDS, 3 TD
Defense
TacklesMarsel McDuffie LB #8103
Jake Pope S #778
Jaheem Joseph S #366
SacksTunmise Adeleye DL #306
Jaheem Joseph S #33.5
Aamaris Brown DB #93.5
InterceptionsAamaris Brown DB #94
Laterrance Welch DB #04
Marsel McDuffie LB #82

Air Force leaders 2025 regular season

PassingLiam Szarka QB #975/120, 1294 YDS, 9 TD, 5 INT
Josh Johnson QB #1116/28, 374 YDS, 4 TD, 2 INT
RushingLiam Szarka QB #9190 CAR, 922 YDS, 13 TD
Owen Allen RB #2132 CAR, 750 YDS, 5 TD
Dylan Carson RB #590 CAR, 418 YDS, 4 TD
ReceivingCade Harris WR #2135 REC, 584 YDS, 2 TD
Bruin Fleischmann TE #8821 REC, 370 YDS, 6 TD
Quin Smith WR #1815 REC, 358 YDS, 4 TD
Jonah Dawson WR #812 REC, 260 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesBlake Fletcher LB #6108
Roger Jones Jr. DB #576
Max Mustell DB #3659
SacksIsaac Hubert LB #305
Jackson Adams LB #583
Aidan Swartz DT #991.5
InterceptionsMax Mustell DB #363
Roger Jones Jr. DB #52
Levi Brown CB #91
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.