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Wk 6 · 2026

Air Force Falcons at Northern Illinois Huskies — Sat, Oct 10

Sat, Oct 10 · Huskie Stadium, Dekalb, IL · CBSSN

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 41 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Mountain West · no games yet
at
7:30pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential AF by 3.0
Mountain West · no games yet

What is at stake

A Mountain West game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Air Force: -3.7#88
Efficiency margin
N Illinois: -9.1#117
Air Force: 27.1
Offense (pts/100)
N Illinois: 18.4
Air Force: 30.8
Defense (pts/100)
N Illinois: 27.5
Air Force: 65.5
Pace (plays/g)
N Illinois: 65.5
Air Force: no data
Yards / play
N Illinois: no data
Air Force: no data
Yards / play allowed
N Illinois: no data
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Air Force: no data
Points / game
N Illinois: no data
Air Force: no data
Points allowed
N Illinois: no data
Air Force: no data
Yards / game
N Illinois: no data
Air Force: no data
Yards allowed
N Illinois: no data
Air Force: no data
Pass yds allowed
N Illinois: no data
Air Force: no data
Rush yds allowed
N Illinois: no data
Air Force: no data
Turnovers / game
N Illinois: no data
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Air Force form

No completed games on record.

N Illinois form

No completed games on record.

Air Force this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.

N Illinois this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 6

OpponentAir ForceN Illinois
N Dakota St
Mountain West
vs Wk 2 · scheduled previewat Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Nevada
Mountain West
at Wk 4 · scheduled previewvs Wk 11 · scheduled preview
UNLV
Mountain West
vs Wk 7 · scheduled previewat Wk 9 · scheduled preview
Wyoming
Mountain West
at Wk 8 · scheduled previewat Wk 7 · scheduled preview
San José St
Mountain West
vs Wk 11 · scheduled previewat Wk 10 · scheduled preview
UTEP
Mountain West
vs Wk 12 · scheduled previewvs Wk 13 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

These teams have not met in the 2006–2026 window.

Air Force leaders 2025 regular season

PassingLiam Szarka QB #975/120, 1294 YDS, 9 TD, 5 INT
Josh Johnson QB #1116/28, 374 YDS, 4 TD, 2 INT
RushingLiam Szarka QB #9190 CAR, 922 YDS, 13 TD
Owen Allen RB #2132 CAR, 750 YDS, 5 TD
Dylan Carson RB #590 CAR, 418 YDS, 4 TD
ReceivingCade Harris WR #2135 REC, 584 YDS, 2 TD
Bruin Fleischmann TE #8821 REC, 370 YDS, 6 TD
Quin Smith WR #1815 REC, 358 YDS, 4 TD
Jonah Dawson WR #812 REC, 260 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesBlake Fletcher LB #6108
Roger Jones Jr. DB #576
Max Mustell DB #3659
SacksIsaac Hubert LB #305
Jackson Adams LB #583
Aidan Swartz DT #991.5
InterceptionsMax Mustell DB #363
Roger Jones Jr. DB #52
Levi Brown CB #91

N Illinois leaders 2025 regular season

PassingJosh Holst QB #1578/130, 689 YDS, 4 TD, 3 INT
Brady Davidson QB #240/87, 384 YDS, 3 TD, 3 INT
RushingChavon Wright RB #10196 CAR, 875 YDS, 5 TD
Telly Johnson Jr. RB #45124 CAR, 712 YDS, 4 TD
Jalen Macon QB #1445 CAR, 216 YDS, 5 TD
ReceivingDeAree Rogers WR #146 REC, 506 YDS, 3 TD
Gary Givens III WR #712 REC, 145 YDS, 1 TD
Rickey Taylor Jr. WR #39 REC, 134 YDS, 1 TD
Telly Johnson Jr. RB #4516 REC, 97 YDS
Defense
TacklesQuinn Urwiler LB #32141
Filip Maciorowski LB #1287
Jasper Beeler S #1877
SacksFilip Maciorowski LB #122.5
Roy Williams EDGE #972
Jay'shon Thomas DE #182
InterceptionsJasper Beeler S #183
Muhammad Jammeh S #42
James Finley DB #292
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.