Wk 4 · 2026
Air Force Falcons at Nevada Wolf Pack — Sat, Sep 26
Sat, Sep 26 ·
Mackay Stadium, Reno, NV
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 26 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Mountain West · no games yet
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential AF by 2.2
Mountain West · no games yet
What is at stake
A Mountain West game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Air Force form
No completed games on record.
Nevada form
No completed games on record.
Air Force this season
No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Nevada this season
No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 6
| Opponent | Air Force | Nevada |
|---|---|---|
| N Dakota St Mountain West | vs Wk 2 · scheduled preview | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
| N Illinois Mountain West | at Wk 6 · scheduled preview | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
| UNLV Mountain West | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview | at Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
| San José St Mountain West | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
| UTEP Mountain West | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview | at Wk 6 · scheduled preview |
| New Mexico Mountain West | at Wk 13 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Air Force leads 6–2 · Air Force has won the last 3
8 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
6.8 points toward Air Force
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024-11-23 | Air Force 22 — 19 Nevada | at NEV | Air Force |
| 2022 | 2022-09-23 | Nevada 20 — 48 Air Force | at AF | Air Force |
| 2021 | 2021-11-19 | Air Force 41 — 39 Nevada | at NEV | Air Force |
| 2018 | 2018-09-29 | Nevada 28 — 25 Air Force | at AF | Nevada |
| 2017 | 2017-10-20 | Air Force 45 — 42 Nevada | at NEV | Air Force |
| 2014 | 2014-11-15 | Nevada 38 — 45 Air Force | at AF | Air Force |
| 2013 | 2013-09-28 | Air Force 42 — 45 Nevada | at NEV | Nevada |
| 2012 | 2012-10-26 | Nevada 31 — 48 Air Force | at AF | Air Force |
Air Force leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Liam Szarka QB #9 | 75/120, 1294 YDS, 9 TD, 5 INT |
| Josh Johnson QB #11 | 16/28, 374 YDS, 4 TD, 2 INT | |
| Rushing | Liam Szarka QB #9 | 190 CAR, 922 YDS, 13 TD |
| Owen Allen RB #2 | 132 CAR, 750 YDS, 5 TD | |
| Dylan Carson RB #5 | 90 CAR, 418 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Receiving | Cade Harris WR #21 | 35 REC, 584 YDS, 2 TD |
| Bruin Fleischmann TE #88 | 21 REC, 370 YDS, 6 TD | |
| Quin Smith WR #18 | 15 REC, 358 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Jonah Dawson WR #8 | 12 REC, 260 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Blake Fletcher LB #6 | 108 |
| Roger Jones Jr. DB #5 | 76 | |
| Max Mustell DB #36 | 59 | |
| Sacks | Isaac Hubert LB #30 | 5 |
| Jackson Adams LB #58 | 3 | |
| Aidan Swartz DT #99 | 1.5 | |
| Interceptions | Max Mustell DB #36 | 3 |
| Roger Jones Jr. DB #5 | 2 | |
| Levi Brown CB #9 | 1 |
Nevada leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Carter Jones QB #6 | 110/171, 1019 YDS, 6 TD, 8 INT |
| Chubba Purdy QB #13 | 44/86, 577 YDS, 3 TD, 8 INT | |
| Rushing | Caleb Ramseur RB #20 | 139 CAR, 683 YDS, 5 TD |
| Chubba Purdy QB #13 | 101 CAR, 527 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Herschel Turner RB #1 | 69 CAR, 353 YDS | |
| Receiving | Jett Carpenter TE #85 | 35 REC, 374 YDS, 2 TD |
| Dakota Thomas WR #5 | 26 REC, 269 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Marcus Bellon WR #18 | 25 REC, 242 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Caleb Ramseur RB #20 | 18 REC, 191 YDS, 3 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Dylan LaBarbera EDGE #32 | 87 |
| Stone Combs LB #33 | 73 | |
| Murvin Kenion III DB #5 | 59 | |
| Sacks | Dylan LaBarbera EDGE #32 | 6.5 |
| Jonathan Maldonado DE #17 | 5 | |
| Nelson Ropati DL #43 | 2 | |
| Interceptions | Murvin Kenion III DB #5 | 5 |
| EJ Smith LB #2 | 2 | |
| Jonathan Maldonado DE #17 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.