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Wk 12 · 2026

UTEP Miners at Air Force Falcons — Fri, Nov 20

Fri, Nov 20 · Falcon Stadium, USAF Academy, CO · CW

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 82 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Mountain West · no games yet
at
8:00pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential AF by 9.6
Mountain West · no games yet

What is at stake

A Mountain West game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

UTEP: -10.9#125
Efficiency margin
Air Force: -3.7#88
UTEP: 20.8
Offense (pts/100)
Air Force: 27.1
UTEP: 31.6
Defense (pts/100)
Air Force: 30.8
UTEP: 65.5
Pace (plays/g)
Air Force: 65.5
UTEP: no data
Yards / play
Air Force: no data
UTEP: no data
Yards / play allowed
Air Force: no data
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

UTEP: no data
Points / game
Air Force: no data
UTEP: no data
Points allowed
Air Force: no data
UTEP: no data
Yards / game
Air Force: no data
UTEP: no data
Yards allowed
Air Force: no data
UTEP: no data
Pass yds allowed
Air Force: no data
UTEP: no data
Rush yds allowed
Air Force: no data
UTEP: no data
Turnovers / game
Air Force: no data
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

UTEP form

No completed games on record.

Air Force form

No completed games on record.

UTEP this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.

Air Force this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 6

OpponentUTEPAir Force
New Mexico
Mountain West
at Wk 5 · scheduled previewat Wk 13 · scheduled preview
Nevada
Mountain West
vs Wk 6 · scheduled previewat Wk 4 · scheduled preview
San José St
Mountain West
vs Wk 7 · scheduled previewvs Wk 11 · scheduled preview
N Dakota St
Mountain West
at Wk 9 · scheduled previewvs Wk 2 · scheduled preview
Wyoming
Mountain West
vs Wk 11 · scheduled previewat Wk 8 · scheduled preview
N Illinois
Mountain West
at Wk 13 · scheduled previewat Wk 6 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

These teams have not met in the 2006–2026 window.

UTEP leaders 2025 regular season

PassingSkyler Locklear QB #9117/211, 1418 YDS, 13 TD, 11 INT
Malachi Nelson QB #16104/190, 1163 YDS, 8 TD, 9 INT
RushingAshten Emory RB #20119 CAR, 569 YDS, 4 TD
Skyler Locklear QB #9103 CAR, 396 YDS, 8 TD
Hahsaun Wilson RB #1446 CAR, 225 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingWondame Davis Jr. WR #725 REC, 604 YDS, 6 TD
Kenny Odom WR #1862 REC, 582 YDS, 6 TD
Eric Willis III WR #1927 REC, 290 YDS, 2 TD
Trevon Tate WR #1522 REC, 235 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesMicah Davey LB #48131
Jayden Wilson LB #1092
Solo Barnes S #566
SacksUdoka Ezeani DL #65
KD Johnson DT #73.5
Elijah Baldwin LB #323.5
InterceptionsSolo Barnes S #52
Xavier Smith S #21
Jayden Wilson LB #101

Air Force leaders 2025 regular season

PassingLiam Szarka QB #975/120, 1294 YDS, 9 TD, 5 INT
Josh Johnson QB #1116/28, 374 YDS, 4 TD, 2 INT
RushingLiam Szarka QB #9190 CAR, 922 YDS, 13 TD
Owen Allen RB #2132 CAR, 750 YDS, 5 TD
Dylan Carson RB #590 CAR, 418 YDS, 4 TD
ReceivingCade Harris WR #2135 REC, 584 YDS, 2 TD
Bruin Fleischmann TE #8821 REC, 370 YDS, 6 TD
Quin Smith WR #1815 REC, 358 YDS, 4 TD
Jonah Dawson WR #812 REC, 260 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesBlake Fletcher LB #6108
Roger Jones Jr. DB #576
Max Mustell DB #3659
SacksIsaac Hubert LB #305
Jackson Adams LB #583
Aidan Swartz DT #991.5
InterceptionsMax Mustell DB #363
Roger Jones Jr. DB #52
Levi Brown CB #91
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.